Response Optimizer analysis of State Exit Polls refutes rBr
Posted by TruthIsAll, Thu Sep-15-05 02:29 AM
Response Optimizer analysis of State Exit Polls
The following Exit Poll Optimizer analysis is based on individual state
exit poll response rates, recorded votes and polling percentages. Prior
optimizer analyses was based on 1250 precincts categorized according to
The primary objective in this analysis was to determine if Kerry/Bush alpha
response ratios (K/B) for five state groupings (High Bush to High Kerry)
matched the prior precinct-based optimizer analysis in which alpha
decreased from High Bush to High Kerry precincts.
The optimizer produced similar results: K/B ratios for the state groups
decreased from High Bush to High Kerry.
What does it mean? There is NO uniform exit poll bias across partisanship
groupings, whether categorized by state or precinct. This effectively puts
the nail in the coffin of the rBr (Reluctant Bush Responder) hypothesis.
They are left with the pathetic claim that 8% of Gore voters forgot or lied
when asked who they voted for in 2000 and that 15% of Democrats voted for